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AUD/USD Forecast – Aussie Dollar Continues to Bounce Around in The Same Range

By:
Christopher Lewis
Published: Aug 12, 2024, 13:09 GMT+00:00

The Aussie seems as if it really doesn’t know what to do at the moment, and as a result, this is a situation where we are just shuffling back and forth. The Aussie has a lot of external factors moving it at the moment, so hang on.

In this article:

Australian Dollar vs US Dollar Technical Analysis

The Australian dollar gapped lower to kick off the trading session on Monday, but then turned around the show signs of life again, as we have rallied quite significantly. We have slammed into the 200 day EMA, which of course is an indicator that a lot of people pay attention to, so it’ll be interesting to see if this holds as resistance again. If we do break above here, then the 0.6650 level is the most likely target that we will be looking for in the short term. On the other hand, if we do pull back, then the 0.6550 level is support. Anything below there opens up a move down to the 0.65 level.

Keep in mind that there are a lot of questions about what the Federal Reserve is going to do and with that being the case, it’ll be interesting to see how the greenback affects this pair. Furthermore, you have to keep in mind that the Australian dollar is highly sensitive to the commodities markets and that of course in and of itself will cause a lot of volatility as commodities are all over the place right now.

With all of that being said, we are basically in the middle of a consolidation phase. And because of this, I don’t know that anybody has a huge advantage. Any advantage probably comes externally, maybe based on some type of economic announcement in the United States or something. But right now, I think we’re just meandering around this area yet again.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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