The Australian dollar has had a very strong week, reaching the 0.65 level late on Friday.
The Australian dollar has rallied rather significantly during the course of the week, reaching the 0.65 level. Ultimately, this is a market that I think continues to see a lot of noisy behavior, and it looks like we are testing a major resistance barrier. If we can break above the 0.65 level, then it’s possible that the market could go looking to the 0.66 level. The 0.66 level is where I define the overall trend, and if we were to break above there then I would have to reevaluate the overall attitude of this market. Granted, this is a massive candlestick and it certainly looks as if there is a lot of strength in it.
When I look at this chart, we are the top of the range that we have seen for a while, and therefore I think you have to recognize that we could see some pressure, but at this point in time it doesn’t look like it’s trying to give up its gains. We’ll have to wait and see, but we could see either a breakdown, or a “rollover” when the market breaks above resistance and gives back those gains. However, if we were to break above the 0.66 level, it’s at that point that I think we could go as high as 0.69. This is a market that obviously is highly sensitive to risk appetite, and the fact that the Middle East isn’t on fire at the moment might suggest that a little bit of risk appetite is starting to come back into the market. Only time will tell, but it certainly looks as if we are about to make some type of major decision.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.