The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index held steady this morning, despite the Tesla news, supporting the recent upward trend and a possible return to neutral.
On Thursday, bitcoin (BTC) fell by 0.30%. Following a 0.76% decline on Wednesday, bitcoin ended the day at $23,154. Bitcoin fell for just the third time in nine sessions.
A mixed start to the day saw BTC rise to a high of $23,420 before hitting reverse.
Falling short of $24,000 and the First Major Resistance Level at $24,025, BTC slid to an early afternoon low of $22,349.
BTC fell through the First Major Support Level at $22,674 before a partial recovery to $23,154.
The NASDAQ 100 delivered BTC support through the US session. Following a 1.58% gain on Wednesday, the NASDAQ rose by 1.36% on Thursday.
However, another post-US session pullback left BTC in the red for the day. News of Tesla Inc. (TSLA) offloading 75% of its bitcoin holdings continued to test buyer support.
This morning, the NASDAQ 100 Mini was down by 92.5 points.
Today, the Fear & Greed Index slipped from 34/100 to 33/100, with the upward trend toward the Neutral zone still in play.
A bitcoin decline to sub-$23,000 failed to materially influence the Index, with news of the Tesla (TSLA) BTC sell-off a past event.
For the bulls, the next target is the “Neutral” zone, which starts at 46/100. The Index last sat in the “Neutral” zone on April 6, when bitcoin stood at $45,000 levels.
At the time of writing, BTC was up 0.53% to $23,277.
BTC needs to avoid the $22,972 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $23,599.
BTC would need a bullish session to support a breakout from the Thursday high of $23,420.
An extended rally would test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $24,048 and resistance at $24,500. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $25,116.
A fall through the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $22,528 into play.
Barring an extended sell-off, BTC should avoid sub-$21,500. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $21,907 should limit the downside.
The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $20,832.
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly candlestick chart (below), it was a bullish signal. This morning, bitcoin sat above the 50-day EMA, currently at $22,130.
The 50-day EMA crossed through the 200-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA narrowing to the 200-day EMA, both positive BTC indicators.
The bullish cross of the 50-day EMA through the 200-day EMA would support a run at $24,500. However, BTC would need to hold above the 50-day EMA to avoid a sell-off.
Looking at the trends, BTC would need a move through the July high of $24,276 and $25,000 to target the June high of $31,956. A bullish cross of the 50-day EMA through the 200-day EMA would support a run at the June high.
From $31,200, BTC should have a clear run at the May high of $40,004.
For the bears, the June 18 low of $17,601 would be the next target, with a fall through last week’s low of $18,919 likely to test investor resilience.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.