On Saturday (June 1), bitcoin (BTC) advanced by 0.30%. Partially reversing a 1.27% loss from Friday (May 31), BTC closed the day at $67,717.
US BTC-spot ETF market flow data for Friday (May 31) drove buyer demand for BTC. Rising investor bets on a September Fed rate cut influence buyer appetite for BTC-spot ETFs. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of the Fed standing pat in September fell from 50.2% to 45.2% in the week ending May 31.
Investors lifted expectations of a Fed rate cut despite the sticky inflation numbers for April.
According to Friday (May 31) flow data from Farside Investors,
In May, the US BTC-spot ETF market logged total net inflows of $2,095.5 million. In April, the US BTC-spot ETF market saw total net outflows of $344 million.
On Saturday (June 1), ETF Store President Nate Geraci shared a US BTC-spot ETF chart of the issuers by BTC holding. According to the chart,
While the US BTC-spot ETF market recorded a four-week inflow streak, it could be a choppy week ahead for the global financial markets. US ISM Services PMI and US labor market data will influence the Fed interest rate trajectory.
Better-than-expected figures could sink investor expectations of a September rate cut and the demand for riskier assets. A resumption of total net outflows in the US BTC-spot ETF market and a more hawkish Fed could paint a gloomy backdrop for the crypto market.
Resilience across the US BTC-spot ETF market was noteworthy in May. However, ETH-spot ETF market news also needs consideration.
BTC remained comfortably above the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, sending bullish price signals.
A BTC break above the $69,000 resistance level would support a move toward the $73,808 all-time high.
SEC activity, market sentiment toward the Fed rate path, and BTC-spot ETF market-related chatter need consideration.
Conversely, a BTC fall through the 50-day EMA could give the bears a run at the $64,000 support level.
With a 53.55 14-Daily RSI reading, BTC could return to the all-time high of $73,808 before entering overbought territory.
ETH hovered well above the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, confirming the bullish price trends.
An ETH breakout from the $3,835 resistance level could give the bulls a run at the $4,000 handle. A return to the $4,000 handle would bring the March high of $4,091 into play.
US ETH-spot ETF-related news needs consideration.
Conversely, an ETH fall through the $3,700 handle could give the bears a run at the $3,480 support level.
The 14-period Daily RSI reading, 66.31, suggests an ETH return to $4,000 before entering overbought territory.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.