BTC gained 1.74% on Sunday. Partially reversing a 3.78% slide from Saturday, BTC closed the session at $66,013. Significantly, BTC ended the three-day losing streak.
On Sunday, investors reacted to news of Iran pre-warning Israel of the Saturday attack. The news raised investor hopes that Israel would not retaliate.
Nevertheless, BTC failed to reverse the losses from Saturday. The threat of an escalation in the Middle East lingered as the Bitcoin Halving event loomed.
Investors will likely focus on the supply and demand balance as the Bitcoin Halving event approaches. After the Saturday sell-off, BTC-spot ETF net inflows for Monday could influence the demand outlook after the Halving.
According to the Bitcoin Halving Countdown Clock, the Bitcoin Halving event will occur on April 19, 2024.
Considering the approaching Halving event, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index moved closer to the Extreme Greed zone. On Monday, April 15, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index increased from 72 to 74. Entering the Extreme Greed zone could signal a BTC pullback from the current levels. However, BTC-spot ETF market flow data could be a deciding factor in near-term trends.
The BTC-spot ETF market saw net outflows of $82.8 million in the week ending April 12. Net outflows early in the week could impact buyer demand for BTC.
On Sunday, MicroStrategy (MSTR) founder and Chairman Michael Saylor shared a performance chart, saying,
“Capitalize on Bitcoin.”
BTC hovered above the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, sending bullish price signals.
A BTC return to the $67,500 handle would support a move to the $69,000 resistance level. A break above the $69,000 resistance level could give the bulls a run at the March 14 ATH of $73,808.
On Monday, BTC-spot ETF flow data and the Middle East need consideration.
Conversely, a BTC break below the 50-day EMA and $64,000 support level would bring the $60,365 support level into play.
With a 14-Daily RSI reading of 44.99, BTC could drop to the $60,365 support level before entering oversold territory.
ETH hovered below the 50-day EMA while remaining above the 200-day EMA. The EMAs confirmed the bearish near-term but bullish longer-term price trends.
An ETH break above the $3,244 resistance level would support a move to the 50-day EMA. A breakout from the 50-day EMA could give the bulls a run at the $3,480 resistance level.
Conversely, an ETH drop below the $3,033 support level could bring the 200-day EMA and the $2,664 support level into view.
The 14-period Daily RSI reading of 41.46 suggests an ETH fall to the $2,800 handle before entering oversold territory.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.