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Bitcoin (BTC) News Today: US BTC-Spot ETF Market Gains on Investor Sentiment Shift

By:
Bob Mason
Published: Jun 26, 2024, 04:31 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Bitcoin (BTC) advanced by 2.52% on Tuesday, June 25, closing the session at $61,848.
  • The US BTC-spot ETF market targeted an end to a seven-day outflow streak.
  • On Wednesday, June 26, SEC activity, FOMC Member speeches, and US BTC-spot ETF market flow trends require consideration.
Bitcoin (BTC) News Today

In this article:

BTC Reacts to US Economic Data and Fed Rate Cut Bets

On Tuesday, June 25, bitcoin (BTC) advanced by 2.52%. Partially reversing a 4.48% tumble from Monday, BTC ended the session at $61,848.

Investors reacted to the US economic calendar, with US consumer confidence numbers supporting a September Fed rate cut.

The CB Consumer Confidence Index fell from 101.3 to 100.4 in June. Weaker consumer confidence could signal a pullback in consumer spending and damper demand-driven inflationary pressures. Significantly, BTC rose to a session high of $62,459 in response to the data before returning below the $62,000 handle.

BTC reaction to US consumer confidence
BTCUSD Hourly Chart 260624

Despite the softer consumer confidence numbers, investors may need to wait until Friday for a clearer view of the Fed’s rate path. According to the FedWatch Tool, the chances of the Fed holding interest rates unchanged in September increased from 31.5% to 33.3% on Tuesday. One week earlier, the probability of the Fed standing pat stood at 33.0%

Could investor expectations of a September Fed rate cut drive buyer demand for US BTC-spot ETFs?

US inflation numbers on Friday could prove pivotal to near-term BTC price trends.

US Spot-ETF Market Ends Seven-Day Outflow Streak

The US economic indicators provided the US BTC-spot ETF market relief. US BTC-spot ETF market inflows contributed to BTC gains in the Wednesday morning session.

According to Farside Investors:

  • Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) saw net outflows of $30.3 million on Tuesday, down from $90.4 million on Monday.
  • Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) reported net inflows of $48.8 million after seeing net outflows of $35.2 million on Monday.
  • Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) saw net inflows of $15.2 million, reversing outflows of $8.2 million from Monday.
  • Excluding flow data for iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the US BTC-spot ETF market saw total net inflows of $31.0 million on Tuesday after net outflows of 174.5 million on Monday.

Significantly, the US BTC-spot ETF market ended a seven-day outflow streak, supporting a positive start to the Wednesday session.

Technical Analysis

Bitcoin Analysis

BTC remained below the 50-day EMA but held above the 200-day EMA. The EMAs affirmed the bearish near-term signals but bullish longer-term signals.

A BTC move through the $64,000 resistance level could give the bulls a run at the 50-day EMA. A break above the 50-day EMA could bring the $69,000 resistance level into play.

SEC activity, the US economic calendar, and BTC-spot ETF flow data require investor consideration on Wednesday.

On the other hand, a drop below the $60,365 support level could bring the 200-day EMA into play.

With a 34.69 14-Daily RSI reading, BTC may drop to the 200-day EMA before entering oversold territory.

BTC Daily Chart sends bearish near-term price signals.
BTCUSD Daily Chart 260624

Ethereum Analysis

ETH hovered below the 50-day EMA while holding above the 200-day EMA. The EMAs confirmed the bearish near-term but bullish longer-term price trends.

A break above the $3,480 resistance level and the 50-day EMA would support a move to the $3,600 handle. Selling pressure could intensify at the $3,480 resistance level. The 50-day EMA is confluent with the resistance level. A break above the 50-day EMA could signal a move toward the $3,835 resistance level.

US ETH-spot ETF-related chatter needs consideration.

Conversely, an ETH break below the $3,244 support level could bring the 200-day EMA and the $3,033 support level into play.

The 14-period Daily RSI reading, 42.09, indicates an ETH break below the $3,244 support level before entering oversold territory.

ETH Daily Chart sends bearish near-term price signals.
ETHUSD Daily Chart 260624

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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