The Bitcoin markets drifted a bit lower yet again during the day on Thursday, showing signs of further weakness. At this point, it seems very unlikely that we are going to get an impulsive move in the near term, and I think at this point we are trying to consolidate more than anything else. A lack of volume continues to be an issue.
Bitcoin has recently lost 50% of its value, and that has scared a lot of retail traders away. At this point, there are traders in one of 2 camps: the ones who think that we are going straight to the moon, but it’s only a matter of time, or the ones that think the bubble has popped and it’s all over. I anticipate that’s what’s going on right now, people were trying to make this decision. Volume has dropped significantly, which leads me to believe in the downside more than anything else. After all, rallies that show almost no volume are hardly convincing. I think in the short term, we are going to go dropping towards the $10,000 handle again.
Bitcoin has fallen again against the Japanese yen, and again, on low volume. The market looks likely to go down to the ¥1.1 million level again, which is the beginning of significant support. I think that support extends down to the ¥1 million level, and the lack of volume should make this a gentle drift to that level, not some type of massive selloff. As far as buying is concerned, I could be convinced to do it a little closer to that level but would need to be on a bounce with significant volume. Volume is not something that we have seen much of lately, and I think that continues to cause a major issue in this market.
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.