The Bitcoin market is enough to put people to sleep at the moment, as we wait for some kind of momentum building fundamental move. At this point, we are simply drifting back and forth.
Bitcoin dropped slightly in the early hours on Monday, only to turn around and show signs of life again. At this point, it looks like Bitcoin is stuck in a state of indecision, with little conviction from traders in either direction. The market has been bouncing from the $90,000 level, and there’s nothing on the chart to suggest that this support level won’t hold again if we approach it. At the same time, the $110,000 level above acts as a major ceiling, creating a clear range-bound market.
This lack of movement makes sense, considering that a crypto-friendly administration has entered the White House, but no significant regulatory actions have been taken yet. While it is still early, traders seem to be waiting for clear policy direction. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve remains tight with its monetary policy, which tends to work against Bitcoin, adding another layer of uncertainty.
The last few rallies in Bitcoin have been driven by specific fundamental news, but at the moment, there are no major catalysts to push prices significantly higher. This explains the current lack of momentum. Ultimately, Bitcoin appears to be in an accumulation phase, but the timing of any breakout remains uncertain.
If the market were to break down, the $88,000 level should act as strong support, not only due to previous price action but also because the 200-day EMA is rapidly approaching that area. A drop below $88,000 could open the door to a revisit of the $74,000 level, which served as a major resistance barrier for much of last year. On the upside, a breakout above $110,000 would be very bullish, but such a move would likely require a strong fundamental catalyst, which we simply don’t have right now.
For now, buying on dips in small increments seems to be the strategy most traders are employing.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.