The Bitcoin market has been sideways overall for a while, but at this point in time, it is simply looking to find some kind of momentum going forward. Bitcoin will continue to be very noisy in this environment.
The Bitcoin market has been very quiet during the early hours on Friday as we continue to hang around the two-hundred-day EMA. Keep in mind this is a market that is trying to find some type of momentum one way or the other, and right now, I think what we’re in the midst of is perhaps trying to form some type of range between the $75,000 level and the $90,000 level. As we are basically in the middle of all of that, it does make a certain amount of sense that there is a little bit of confusion.
Furthermore, keep in mind that Bitcoin is highly influenced by risk appetite, and right now, risk appetite is pretty anemic. So, with all of that, I would be a bit cautious about getting overly exposed to Bitcoin, unless you are building up along the way dollar cost averaging in order to build a longer term position for a longer term buy and hold type of setup. I do that myself, but I’m buying very small increments as we go along. So, it really doesn’t affect my cost basis too much.
If we were to break down below the $75,000 level, we could drop all the way down to $60,000. On the other hand, if we can take out the $90,000 level, which would also be taking out the 50 day EMA, the market could rise all the way back to the highs at $110,000. In the meantime, though, I think you’re looking at lot of choppy sideways action.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.