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Bitcoin Price to $70k? Traders Bet $1.28B on BTC as Biden Bows to Trump

By:
Ibrahim Ajibade
Published: Jul 22, 2024, 07:08 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Bitcoin (BTC) price smashed through the $67,700 resistance on Sunday, July 21 after Joe Biden announced the decision to bow out of the US 2024 Presidential Elections.
  • The early market reactions has seen speculative BTC LONG contracts exceeded SHORT contracts by $80 million.
  • Technical indicators suggests that Bitcoin price could hit $70,000 in the week ahead under certain conditions.
Crypto Market

In this article:

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Bitcoin price rose 7% over the weekend, smashing the $68,400 resistance on Monday July 22 after Joe Biden announced the decision to bow out of the US 2024 Presidential Elections. Bull traders have bet another $1.28B on BTC in anticipation of further upside in the week ahead.

Bitcoin Price Gains 7% Over the Weekend

Following a correction scare on Friday July 19, bulls traders regained foothold of the crypto markets over the weekend. While Ethereum price fell behind the markets, Bitcoin price rally entered second-gear, smashing into new monthly peaks.

The Bitcoin price uptrend was largely driven by a major shift in the US Presidential Elections race. On Sunday, July 21, US President Joe Biden announced the decision to quit the re-election race.

Bitcoin Price (BTC/USD) | TradingView
Bitcoin Price (BTC/USD) | TradingView

The chart above shows that BTC price gained 7.78% over the weekend rising from the $63,294 on Friday, to hit  $68,477 on Monday July 22. Notably this is the highest BTC has traded in over 30-days dating back to June 10, 2024.

Bitcoin Traders Mount $1.28 Positions After Biden Announcement

Joe Biden’s decision to quit, has now put Crypto-friendly Donald Trump firmly ahead in the Presidential Elections race, sparking a wave of enthusiastic buying frenzy on Sunday evening.

Market data shows that traders are betting heavily on the prospects of Bitcoin price rising towards the $70,000 territory in the week ahead.

CoinGlass’ Liquidation Map data presents real-time value of active LONG/SHORT contracts currently listed for BTC derivatives.

Bitcoin Liquidation Map vs. BTC Price | Coinglass
Bitcoin Liquidation Map vs. BTC Price | Coinglass

The chart above shows that around the 20% price boundaries, Bitcoin bulls have mounted LONG positions worth $1.28 billion dollars as of July 22. Meanwhile the total active SHORT contracts stands just below the $1.20 billion mark.

Essentially, this means that following Joe Biden’s decision to drop out of the election campaigns, Bitcoin LONG contracts have now exceeded SHORT contracts by over $80 million.

It appears that Biden’s announcement has spurred investor confidence in BTC short-term price prospects. If  bulls hold this momentum until markets open on Monday, more funds could flow towards Bitcoin purchases.

More so, considering the bears have mounted $1.20 billion SHORT positions around the current prices, it means that BTC price is likely to enter an accelerated uptrend if those SHORT contracts get liquidated within a short-period.

If this short-squeeze scenario plays out, BTC price could surge towards $70,000 in the week ahead, especially if Bitcoin ETF investors opt to turn up the buying pressure after Biden’s latest announcement.

Bitcoin Price Forecast: $70,000 Resistance at Risk

Bitcoin’s price broke into yet another 30-day high of $68,477.85 on July 22, and despite a minor pullback, it continues to trade above key support levels. Currently priced at $67,353.04, Bitcoin is showing signs of potential upward movement, with bulls eyeing a retest of the $70,000 resistance level.

The technical indicators on the chart provide a mixed outlook. The Bollinger Bands (BB) are starting to widen, suggesting increased volatility. The %b indicator, which measures the position of the price relative to the upper and lower Bollinger Bands, is at 0.87. This indicates that Bitcoin is nearing the upper band, a zone often associated with overbought conditions. However, a sustained move above this level could signal strong bullish momentum.

Bitcoin Price Forecast (BTC/USD) | TradingView
Bitcoin Price Forecast (BTC/USD) | TradingView

Support levels to watch include the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $61,140.64 and the lower Bollinger Band at $52,831.85. These levels could act as safety nets in case of further corrections.

On the upside, the immediate resistance is at the recent peak of $68,477.85, followed by the psychological $70,000 level. A break above $70,000 could pave the way for a new all-time high, potentially drawing in more buyers.

In summary, while Bitcoin’s price shows promising signs of testing the $70,000 resistance, traders should remain cautious of potential volatility. Monitoring the key support and resistance levels will be crucial in the coming days to gauge the market’s direction.

About the Author

Ibrahim Ajibade Ademolawa is a seasoned research analyst with a background in Commercial Banking and Web3 startups, specializing in DeFi and TradFi analysis. He holds a B.A. in Economics and is pursuing an MSc in Blockchain.

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