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Bitcoin’s Path to $100K: Can Trump’s Policies Truly Deliver?

By:
James Hyerczyk
Published: Nov 12, 2024, 10:02 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Bitcoin nears $90,000, buoyed by Trump’s pro-crypto agenda, sparking predictions of $100,000 by year-end.
  • Trump pledges pro-Bitcoin policies: Advisory council, SEC shakeup, and mining incentives could drive growth.
  • Advisory council promises clearer crypto regulations to address industry uncertainty and attract institutional investors.
  • U.S. aims to lead Bitcoin mining as Trump eyes domestic dominance to secure production and energy independence.
  • Fed rate cuts favored by Trump could boost crypto, but actual economic policies may still influence Bitcoin’s appeal.
Bitcoin’s Path to $100K: Can Trump’s Policies Truly Deliver?

Bitcoin Nears $90,000—Will Trump’s Promises Keep the Rally Going?

Weekly Bitcoin (BTCUSD)

Bitcoin has soared to historic highs, approaching $90,000, thanks largely to Donald Trump’s pro-crypto platform. As investors cheer the promise of a favorable regulatory environment, some are already eyeing the $100,000 mark. Yet questions remain about whether this rally can be sustained—or if it faces the same risks that have challenged Bitcoin in the past.

How Far Can Trump’s Pro-Crypto Promises Take Bitcoin?

A central part of Trump’s crypto appeal is his promise to create a “Bitcoin and Crypto Presidential Advisory Council.” This council would work with industry insiders to shape policy, which could finally provide the clarity crypto firms need to grow. Additionally, Trump has signaled a desire to reform the SEC, currently seen as restrictive, by potentially replacing regulators like Chair Gary Gensler. However, policy changes take time, and delays could dampen enthusiasm and temporarily stall Bitcoin’s rise.

Will America Become the New Hub for Bitcoin Mining?

Trump has also laid out a plan to make the U.S. the center for Bitcoin mining. By investing in infrastructure to support domestic mining, he hopes to reduce dependence on foreign resources and position the U.S. as a crypto leader. While this goal excites investors, setting up extensive mining networks will require substantial infrastructure and energy investments, which could encounter bureaucratic or environmental pushback.

Could Volatility and Delayed Policies Halt the Rally?

Bitcoin’s past is marked by big swings, and today’s rally could face similar volatility. Profit-taking or slower-than-expected regulatory progress could lead to short-term corrections. Additionally, Trump’s preference for lower interest rates, while supportive of risky assets, is ultimately up to the Fed. A stronger dollar could reduce Bitcoin’s appeal, and unexpected economic shifts might disrupt momentum.

Is Bitcoin’s Dominance at Risk from New Technology?

While Bitcoin is leading now, alternative cryptocurrencies could challenge its dominance, especially if they offer faster processing or lower fees. Institutional investors, too, need stability. They’ll be watching to see if Trump’s administration truly follows through with policies that make crypto a safer bet.

Trump’s Promises Could Push Bitcoin Higher—But Risks Remain

Daily Bitcoin (BTCUSD)

The rally is fueled by optimism for Trump’s promised regulatory reforms and mining incentives. However, factors like regulatory delays, market volatility, and competition mean it’s not without risk. For Bitcoin to reach new heights, clear and consistent action will be key.

About the Author

James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.

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