It was a bullish start to the day for BTC, which revisited $30,000 for the first time since July 24. SEC and US lawmaker chatter will influence, however.
On Tuesday, bitcoin (BTC) gained 1.56%. Reversing a 0.27% loss from Monday, BTC ended the day at $29,795. Significantly, BTC came up short of $30,000 for the eighth consecutive session.
The Daily Chart showed BTC/USD sitting below the $30,750 – $31,250 resistance band. However, BTC held above the 50-day ($29,479) and 200-day ($27,083) EMAs, sending bullish near and longer-term price signals. Notably, the 50-day EMA pulled away from the 200-day EMA, supporting further gains.
Looking at the 14-Daily RSI, the 52.95 reading reflects bullish sentiment. The RSI signals a BTC run at the $30,750 – $31,250 resistance band. However, a fall through the 50-day EMA ($29,479) would bring sub-$28,000 and the $27,500 – $26,850 support band into view.
Looking at the 4-Hourly Chart, BTC remains below the $30,750 – $31,250 resistance band. However, BTC sits above the 50-day ($29,471) and 200-day ($29,664) EMAs, sending bullish near and longer-term price signals.
Significantly, the 50-day EMA narrowed to the 200-day EMA, supporting further gains. However, a fall through the 200-day ($29,664) and 50-day ($29,471) EMAs give the bears a run at sub-$28,000.
The 14-4H RSI reading of 65.45 indicates a bullish stance, with buying pressure outweighing selling pressure. Significantly, the RSI aligns with the 50-day EMA, signaling a near-term bearish trend reversal and a return to sub-$31,500.
It was a busy Tuesday session, with SEC v Terraform Labs and SEC v Ripple chatter drawing interest.
However, MicroStrategy (MSTR)-related news delivered a bullish BTC session.
This week, MicroStrategy (MSTR) filed a request to sell up to $750 million in stock to acquire BTC. According to the quarterly report for the quarter ending June 30, 2023, MicroStrategy held 152,333 BTC. The anticipated increase in BTC holdings supported a Wednesday morning return to $30,000.
The news of Tron (TRX) founder Justin Sun acquiring CRV also provided market support.
However, uncertainty surrounding the ETF applications left $30,000 out of reach.
US economic indicators are on the light side this afternoon. ADP nonfarm employment change numbers could reignite bets on a September Fed rate hike.
However, beyond the economic calendar, investors should continue to monitor the crypto news wires. SEC v Ripple and SEC v Terraform Lab chatter, ETF updates, and Binance and Coinbase (COIN)-related news will move the dial.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.