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BTC Bulls Eye a Return to $31,500 on MicroStrategy Momentum

By:
Bob Mason
Published: Aug 2, 2023, 03:12 GMT+00:00

It was a bullish start to the day for BTC, which revisited $30,000 for the first time since July 24. SEC and US lawmaker chatter will influence, however.

BTCUSD technical analysis - FX Empire

In this article:

Key Insights:

  • On Tuesday, BTC enjoyed a bullish session, gaining 1.56% to end the day at $29,795.
  • News of MicroStrategy planning to acquire more BTC provided price support.
  • The near-term technical indicators turned bullish, signaling a return to $31,500.

On Tuesday, bitcoin (BTC) gained 1.56%. Reversing a 0.27% loss from Monday, BTC ended the day at $29,795. Significantly, BTC came up short of $30,000 for the eighth consecutive session.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Action

Daily Chart

The Daily Chart showed BTC/USD sitting below the $30,750 – $31,250 resistance band. However, BTC held above the 50-day ($29,479) and 200-day ($27,083) EMAs, sending bullish near and longer-term price signals. Notably, the 50-day EMA pulled away from the 200-day EMA, supporting further gains.

Looking at the 14-Daily RSI, the 52.95 reading reflects bullish sentiment. The RSI signals a BTC run at the $30,750 – $31,250 resistance band. However, a fall through the 50-day EMA ($29,479) would bring sub-$28,000 and the $27,500 – $26,850 support band into view.

BTC Daily Chart sends bullish price signals.
BTCUSD 020823 Daily Chart

4-Hourly Chart

Looking at the 4-Hourly Chart, BTC remains below the $30,750 – $31,250 resistance band. However, BTC sits above the 50-day ($29,471) and 200-day ($29,664) EMAs, sending bullish near and longer-term price signals.

Significantly, the 50-day EMA narrowed to the 200-day EMA, supporting further gains. However, a fall through the 200-day ($29,664) and 50-day ($29,471) EMAs give the bears a run at sub-$28,000.

The 14-4H RSI reading of 65.45 indicates a bullish stance, with buying pressure outweighing selling pressure. Significantly, the RSI aligns with the 50-day EMA, signaling a near-term bearish trend reversal and a return to sub-$31,500.

4-Hourly Chart sends bullish price signals.
BTCUSD 020823 4 Hourly Chart

MicroStrategy Plans to Acquire More BTC Provided Support

It was a busy Tuesday session, with SEC v Terraform Labs and SEC v Ripple chatter drawing interest.

However, MicroStrategy (MSTR)-related news delivered a bullish BTC session.

This week, MicroStrategy (MSTR) filed a request to sell up to $750 million in stock to acquire BTC. According to the quarterly report for the quarter ending June 30, 2023, MicroStrategy held 152,333 BTC. The anticipated increase in BTC holdings supported a Wednesday morning return to $30,000.

The news of Tron (TRX) founder Justin Sun acquiring CRV also provided market support.

However, uncertainty surrounding the ETF applications left $30,000 out of reach.

The Day Ahead

US economic indicators are on the light side this afternoon. ADP nonfarm employment change numbers could reignite bets on a September Fed rate hike.

However, beyond the economic calendar, investors should continue to monitor the crypto news wires. SEC v Ripple and SEC v Terraform Lab chatter, ETF updates, and Binance and Coinbase (COIN)-related news will move the dial.

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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