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Crude Oil Price Forecast – Crude Oil Continues to Find Value Hunters

By:
Christopher Lewis
Published: May 16, 2024, 13:29 GMT+00:00

The crude oil markets have bounced back after selling off again, as the oil markets enter what is typically a very bullish time of year for the markets.

In this article:

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis

The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil Market initially pulled back a little bit during the trading session on Thursday, but then turned around to show signs of life again. This is an area that I think will continue to be consolidated and it’s probably worth noting that the market is paying close attention to the 200-day EMA and the $80 level above. If we can break through all of that, then I think the WTI crude oil market continues to rally for a bigger move. It might be worth noting that the 50% Fibonacci retracement level is just below as well, and that of course brings in technical traders also. In other words, I’m somewhat bullish, but cautious, I’m not willing to throw a ton of money into the market.

Brent Crude Oil Technical Analysis

Brent looks exactly the same to me. 200 day EMA and the $84.50 level above offering resistance, but it certainly looks as if the 50% Fibonacci retracement level is coming into the picture to keep oil somewhat afloat.

There is a cyclical argument to be made for crude oil this time of year, and then of course there’s a lot out there that could have influence due to geopolitics. So really at this point, I have no interest whatsoever in shorting the market. I think this is an area of value that people will eventually take advantage of in trying to send oil much higher as they typically do during the summer anyway.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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