The crude oil market has been very soft in the first few hours of Monday, but at this point in time, it is likely that the market will bounce back to the upside, as we have already seen a bit of that action from a previous resistance barrier showing market memory.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil Market initially pulled back a bit during the trading session on Monday but then turned around to show signs of life near the $81.50 level. At this point I do think that we will try to get back toward the $84 level, but we’ll have to wait and see whether or not we can break above there. If we can break above there then we could go looking to the $85 level. All things being equal, this is a market that I think continues to be noisy, but it does make a lot of sense that the crude oil market is trying to digest some of the recent gains.
As I look at the Brent market, I noticed that the $85 level has offered support and we have turned around from there. I do think eventually we will go higher. Ultimately, the Brent market is going to follow right along with the WTI crude oil market. And therefore, it’s a matter of just trying to chase any momentum that we get. Keep in mind this time of year is typically very positive for crude oil anyway.
So, I think it all ties together quite nicely. We certainly have enough geopolitical concerns out there to keep oil somewhat elevated. And of course, travel still seems to be a major thing out there. So that of course has traders out there suspecting that we are going to have more demand. I have no interest in shorting crude oil anytime soon. And I do think that we will continue to rise throughout the remainder of the summer.
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Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.