Crude oil continues to make a lot of noise at this point in time, and therefore it makes a lot of sense that people are trying to pick it back up, finding value in these drops. Whether or not that holds remains to be seen, but I am bullish overall.
On the four-hour chart, you can see that the West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil Market has pulled back just a bit to show signs of hesitation, but then turned around to rallied significantly. At this point in time, it looks like the market is doing everything it can to rally towards the $80 level.
However, I do believe that it’s going to take a significant amount of momentum to get there. Short-term pullbacks continue to be potential buying opportunities. After all, this is a time of year where crude oil tends to do fairly well. Furthermore, and this is something not worth overlooking anytime soon, is the fact that we have a lot of geopolitical concerns out there. So, I do believe this is a buy on the dip market.
Brent looks very much the same. We had pulled back initially during the day but found enough support near the $81.50 level to turn things around. If we can break above the $83 level, I don’t see anything stopping us from getting to $84.50, but it may take a little bit of time to get there. Keep in mind that Brent also has to deal with a lot of geopolitical concerns.
It’s also possible that with the interest rate cuts around the world and the jobs market being as strong as it is in America, we may see demand pick up. If that’s the case, then I fully anticipate that crude oil continues to grind its way higher, although it may be a bit of a messy and noisy move in the process. Because of this, you have to be cautious about your position sizing. You don’t want to get over levered to the crude oil market because it can make erratic moves from time to time.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.