Crude oil markets pulled back just a bit during the course of the trading session on Monday, but then turned around to show signs of life yet again.
The West Texas Intermediate crude oil market has initially fell during trading on Monday but has turned around to show signs of life. All things being equal, I think the market is going to continue to look at this for an upward pressure attempt to break above the $75 level. If we can break above the $75 level, then it’s likely that we could go looking to the 200 day EMA.
Underneath there is plenty of support near the $71 level and I don’t think that we are going to break down there anytime soon. If we do, then $68 would be the absolute floor. Breaking down below that area would of course be very negative. Nonetheless, I think we have been building a bit of a basing pattern here, and I do think that oil turns around eventually.
Brent is the same thing as we initially pulled back but then turned around to show signs of life, perhaps trying to take out the 50-day EMA above. If we break above there, then the $80.50 level becomes the next resistance barrier that I think you have to deal with. In that environment, the market breaking above there then opens up the possibility of a move to the 200 day EMA. This, of course, is an indicator that will attract a lot of attention.
Regardless, I do think that oil is going to be a situation where we continue to buy the dips, and eventually break out to the upside but right now, we just don’t have the momentum. So therefore, you have to look at this again as a short term buying opportunity every time we drop, but you also have to get out rather quickly in order to take advantage of the gains and then just rinse and repeat. That will probably be the case for most of the year, so keep this in the back of your mind every time you look at the crude oil markets.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.