Crude oil markets have fallen into the weekend, as we could not hang on to the gain from the previous session.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market is falling into the weekend as we have seen a complete swallow of the previous candlestick. Ultimately, this is a market that I think you continue to see a lot of noisy behavior, but now we are sitting on top of the previous downtrending channel, so market memory should dictate a bit of support here. However, you also have to keep in mind that the markets are extraordinarily worried about the idea of a global slowdown destroying demand. At the same time, you have OPEC cutting output, so I think you will continue to see a lot of volatility right around this area.
The 200-Day EMA states right around the $92 level, and if we could turn around a break above there then oil becomes a very bullish market. On the other hand, if we break down below the $85 level, then it’s likely that we are going to see and move down to the $82.50 level.
Brent markets are behaving similarly as you would expect, selling off heading into the weekend. Ultimately, the 50-Day EMA is sitting right in the middle of the overall trading range that we have been in over the last 3 days, and therefore it makes perfect sense that we are going to continue to consolidate. However, if we were to break down below the $90 level, we would reenter that previous downtrend in channel, and could open up a move down to the $85 level.
Alternatively, if we can turn around a break above the 200-Day EMA, then it’s likely that we could go look into the $99 level, possibly even eventually the $100 level.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.