Crude oil markets continue to see a lot of volatility, but the trading session on Tuesday was rather quiet. Now we are digesting whether or not we can continue to go higher.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market did pull back just a bit during the trading session on Tuesday, as we are hanging around above the 200-Day EMA. This is an area that a lot of people will be paying close attention to, especially as we are trying to figure out whether or not we are ready to continue going higher. The $80 level above is a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and therefore I think you need to be cautious. If we break down below the 200-Day EMA, then we could go looking to the $75 level underneath. Either way, I think we are going to see a lot of noisy behavior.
Brent markets are dancing around the 200-Day EMA, which of course is a technical indicator that a lot of people pay close attention to. With this being the case, I think you got a situation where the market will continue to be very noisy but given enough time we have to make some type of bigger decision. It appears that the OPEC production cuts are starting to spook the market, so I do think that it is probably only a matter of time before the buyers really start to take off. In fact, when you look at the price action recently, you can see that the market formed a bullish flag, and now has broken above there.
If that does work out, it’s possible that we could go looking to the $90 level above, but at this point I think we have a lot of volatility ahead of us, so therefore you need to be cautious about your position sizing. Nonetheless, it looks like we are nowhere near some type of bearish market, so I think a pullback offers value that a lot of people will be interested in. This being the case, I think we have a situation where you are looking for a bit of value. Underneath, the 50-Day EMA will be your “floor in the market” and therefore could be looked at as extraordinarily important going forward.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.