The crude oil market continues to see a lot of noisy trading, but at this point in time, the markets are looking to determine whether or not the three year support area will continue to hold.
The light sweet crude oil market initially pulled back a bit during the early hours on Monday, but as you can see, we have been a little bit negative here as of late, and I think that continues to be the case. With this being said, I think you have to be very cautious about trying to get overly bullish, although it does look like we are trying to at least defend the $67 level. The $67 level of course is a major support level going back to the last three years or so.
If we do rally from here, and it looks like we’ll at least try to, I think the $70 level could be your target. If we break below the lows of last week, we could see oil really start to fall apart, probably reaching towards the $65 level rather rapidly.
The Brent market looks very much the same as we are hanging out just above the $70 level and this also is an area that’s been important. If we do rally from here, I think it’s likely that we could go to the $72 level, possibly $73.50. If we break down below the bottom of last week, it’s likely that the Brent market will really fall apart, probably going to look for $65 at that point.
A lot of this comes down to fears of a global recession, so keep that in mind. If we get an economic turnaround here, then the price of oil is really at this point, I think the risk is to the upside, not the down, all things being equal, just based on the previous support that has been so important.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.