Based on the early trade, the direction of crude oil today is likely to be determined by the Fibonacci level at $60.12.
A rebound in the U.S. stock market and a weaker U.S. Dollar are helping to generate enough upside momentum to turn March West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures higher for the session. Short-covering and profit-taking may also be contributing to the move.
The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. A trade through $58.07 will signal a resumption of the downtrend. This could lead to an eventual test of the next main bottom at $56.07.
The main range is $56.07 to $66.66. Its retracement zone at $60.12 to $61.37 is currently being tested.
The short-term range is $66.30 to $58.07. If the rally continues then its retracement zone at $62.19 to $63.16 will become the primary upside target.
Based on the early trade, the direction of crude oil today is likely to be determined by the Fibonacci level at $60.12.
A sustained move over $60.12 will indicate the presence of buyers. This could lead to a labored rally because of a cluster of Gann angles at $60.30 and $60.66. The market starts to open up on a move over $60.66 with the next potential targets a long-term uptrending Gann angle at 60.95 and a 50% level at $61.37.
The 50% level at $61.37 is a potential trigger point for an acceleration into $62.19.
A sustained move under $60.12 will signal the presence of sellers. The daily chart is open to the downside with the first potential support angle coming in at $58.51, followed by the minor bottom at $58.07.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.