The crude oil markets did rally just a bit during the trading week, breaking above the short-term resistance barrier, but it does look like we have a little bit of trouble ahead.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil markets rose during the course of the week but have shown a little bit of hesitation. That being said, the market breaking above the highs of the week could open up the possibility of a move toward the $80 level, which is a large, round, psychologically significant figure. On the other hand, if we were to break down below the bottom of the candlestick, the market could look to the $70 level. All things being equal, this market looks like it is building up inertia and trying to figure out where we are going next. This makes sense, considering that there are a lot of questions as to whether or not demand will continue to be strong as we head into a recession.
The Brent markets also have rallied during the course of the week, popping above the 200-Week EMA, only to give back some of the gains. Ultimately, this is a market that looks as if it is trying to get to the $80 level above, which is a large, round, psychologically significant figure. Underneath, we have the $72.50 level offering support, and then of course we have the $70 level underneath there. All things being equal, I think we are trying to build up enough pressure to reach toward the top of the overall range, but a bigger move is probably a bit out of the question at this point. It does look like the $70 level is going to continue to offer a bit of a “floor in the market” as things stand right now.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.