Crude oil markets have fallen during the week as we continue to consolidate in the same range we have been in for a while.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has fallen during the course of the week, as we continue to trade in the same consolidation area. The $65 level underneath is a support level, while the $75 level above is a resistance. The 200-Week EMA is also sitting just above, and it causes a significant amount of resistance. All things being equal, if we were to break below the $65 level, we could open up a big move lower. On the other hand, if we break above the $75 level, then we could go much higher. All things being equal, this is a market that continues to be choppy, and therefore I think you need to trade it from a shorter-term timeframe as we are essentially in the “summer range.”
The Brent market has also fallen from the 200-Week EMA, and we are trading between the $70 level on the bottom and the $80 level on the top. With this, we got a situation where we continue to go back and forth, and therefore you have to look at it through short-term charts, and therefore I think of it more or less as range bound as well. There is a huge “push/pull” in the market, as the OPEC cuts have put a little bit of a floor in this market, but at the same time, we have to worry about global demand. All things being equal, I think this is a market that continues to make a lot of noisy movements, and therefore if you can focus more on the short term, as longer-term training might be a bit difficult.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.