Crude oil markets have fallen during the course of the week, reaching the 50-Week EMA in both grades of crude oil that I follow.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market fell rather significantly during the course of the trading week, to reach out to the 50-Week EMA. The 50-Week EMA is an indicator that a lot of people will be paying attention to, and we are near the $81 level, an area that is significant support that extends down to the $80 level.
Crude oil has been pulling back for a minute now, and it does suggest that we are trying to find value underneath. If we can turn around and take out the $82.50 level, then the market is likely to go higher, perhaps reaching the $90 level after that. If we do break down below the $80 level, it opens up a move down to the 200-Week EMA near the $75 level.
Brent also fell during the course of the week, as we are threatening the $85 level, and of course the 50-Week EMA indicator right there as well. If we were to break down below there, then it opens up a move to the $83 level, and then after that it opens up the trap door to much lower prices, perhaps reaching down to the 200-Week EMA.
On the other hand, if we were to turn around and show signs of strength again, then I think the market could go look into the $90 level, and if the conflict in the Middle East gets worse than we have seen, that certainly would be like rocket fuel for this market. At this point, I think we’ve got a situation where you are just hanging around and trying to sort out where we are going next in a market that is trying to carve out its next trading range.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.