Crude oil markets initially fell during most of the week, but then turned around to show signs of life again as we continue to see a lot of noise in a well-defined consolidation region.
As you can see, crude oil initially fell during the week, but has turned around to show signs of life again. We’re currently bouncing around the 200-week EMA in the West Texas Intermediate grade of crude oil and dancing around just below the $75 level. That being said, the market also is looking at this through the prism of bouncing from a major support level underneath at $68. With that being said, I think we are in a rather tight consolidation area of about five or six dollars.
But if we can break above the $76 level, that should free up quite a bit of momentum. Central banks around the world look to be loosening monetary policy, that could help oil as well. Nonetheless, I think we have a lot of volatility ahead, and therefore you need to be cautious with your position sizing as this market does tend to be volatile regardless. Longer-term traders will continue to look for some type of breakout in order to get involved, or pullbacks in order to build up an investment, not necessarily a short-term trade.
Brent markets did very much the same thing. We pulled back a bit during the week, only to turn around and form a bit of a hammer. At this point, we’re testing the 200-week EMA as well, and I think the $80.50 level above is your resistance with $72 underneath being massive support. Same situation over here. We have a scenario where people are looking at the possibility of demand picking up due to central bank liquidity measures.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.