The crude oil market has fallen rather significantly during the course of the trading week, as traders are starting to focus on the idea of a potential recession.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has fallen rather significantly during the course of the week, as we have fallen as far as the $75 level before bouncing a bit to the upside. Ultimately, the 200-Week EMA sits right around that same area as well, so it offers a significant amount of support. By bouncing the way, we have, it does suggest that we could see the market turning around a bit, perhaps trying to reach toward the 50-Week EMA above, and therefore it’s likely that we will see a lot of resistance.
The market has been very noisy over the last week but will have to wait and see whether or not we will continue to see buyers underneath. All things being equal, if we turn around and break above the top of the candlestick for the week, then the market could go looking to the $90 level.
Brent markets have also fallen during the course of the week to test the 200-Week EMA. The $80 level is an area that has attracted a lot of attention as you would expect, therefore I think you got a situation where you probably continue to look at this through the prism of trying to fight a bit of value. We don’t necessarily have that signal quite yet, but this is an area where I would anticipate seeing a lot of buying pressure and perhaps support, so I do anticipate that the market may turn around a bit after this strong pullback. If it does not, then the market could go down to the $75 level underneath, which is a significant support level.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.