It's worth noting that the summer travel season, of course, puts a lot of demand for petroleum.
The West Texas Intermediate crude oil market did fall rather significantly during the course of the trading week, but it looks like we’ve had a little bit of a washout. We are now in the midst of trying to recapture the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, and if we can break above there, the $78.50 level is a target that I think could offer a little bit of resistance.
But if we break above there, then it’s likely that the $80 level then gets targeted. Regardless, this is a scenario where a lot of people are going to try to find value here. I think that ultimately, we will, and the market looks as if it is trying to agree with me on this point as well. Given enough time, I think we go higher.
The Brent market looks very similar, maybe a little bit more compact with its price action, but ultimately this is a market that I think given enough time, will do whatever it can to take off to the upside as well.
After all, this is a market that has seen a nice pullback but has held the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. So, with this, given enough time, if we can take out the $84.50 level, I do think that Brent rallies rather significantly at that point. Then we have the $90 level underneath. Also, we have the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level that’s held in both markets, and a lot of technical traders will be paying close attention to it.
It’s worth noting that the summer travel season, of course, puts a lot of demand for petroleum. So, I think that’s going to be an issue as well as geopolitical concerns, which of course are front and center in the Middle East as per usual.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.