The crude oil market continues to see a lot of sideways action overall, as the market is trying to build some kind of base. At this point, the market is going to continue to see a lot of shorter term trading than anything else.
The West Texas Intermediate crude oil market has pulled back just a bit during the week as we are continuing to bounce around between the $65 level underneath and the $72.50 level above. As we are essentially in the middle of the market range, I think you remain very soft and just back and forth. I don’t think there’s any real conviction in this market.
Therefore, longer term traders are going to struggle, but it is worth noting that the $65 level has offered support going all the way back to May of 2022. So, I think that’s the most important level for longer term traders to pay attention to, but they should also recognize that breaking out is a bit of a problem here.
Brent markets look very much the same with the massive support in the Brent market being at the $70 level. If we can bounce from there, then I think you’ve got a situation where traders are going to continue to see this as a bit of a floor and then go looking to the $76 level and then eventually the $80 level which I think is the actual ceiling.
Again, I think you have a market that doesn’t really want to go anywhere and therefore a lot of traders will continue to look at this through the prism of just like a tennis match going from one side to the other as the market seems to be in fairly decent balance.
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Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.