Following a bullish Wednesday crypto session, it is a testy start to the Thursday session, with the Merge and US economic indicators in focus.
It was a bullish Wednesday session for the crypto top ten. ETH and ADA led the way in anticipation of the Merge and the Vasil hard fork. Bitcoin (BTC) failed to shine after Tuesday’s 9.9% slump, with a fall to a low of $19,624 before ending the day at $20,234.
Market anticipation of the Merge delivered a bullish ETH session, with ADA benefitting from the focus on network updates.
From the US, economic indicators were crypto-friendly. In August, the annual wholesale inflation rate softened from 9.8% to 8.7%, with the core wholesale inflation rate down from 7.7% to 7.3%. The softer numbers eased bets of a percentage point Fed rate hike, supporting riskier assets.
On Wednesday, the NASDAQ 100 rose by 0.74%. This morning, the markets have priced in a 76% chance of a 75-basis point rate hike and a 24% chance of a percentage point hike. Ahead of the wholesale inflation numbers, there was a 31% chance of a percentage point move.
Today, US retail sales, jobless claims, and Philly Fed Manufacturing numbers are due. However, with the Fed’s commitment to bring inflation to target at any cost, the numbers would need to be dire to influence.
On Wednesday, the crypto market cap fell to a late afternoon low of $933.4 billion before rising to a late high of $975.6 billion. Softer US wholesale inflation figures provided modest support.
Despite falling bets of a percentage point Fed rate hike, the crypto market cap rose by just $12.5 billion to $963.9 billion. The upside was modest compared with Tuesday’s $78.9 billion slump.
It was a bullish Wednesday session for the crypto top ten.
ETH led the way, rallying by 4.09%, with ADA (+3.66%), SOL (+3.46%), and XRP (+2.80%) close behind.
BNB (+0.72%), BTC (+0.29%), and DOT (+1.84%) trailed the front runners.
From the CoinMarketCap top 100, it is a mixed session.
Celsius (CEL) led the way, surging by 28.97%, as investors responded to news of plans to restructure the business. Ravencoin (RVN) and Ethereum Classic (ETC) saw gains of 17.44% and 11.23%, respectively, as the crypto market focused on the Merge.
However, Terra (LUNA), Terra Classic (LUNC), and TerraClassicUSD (USTC) led the way down. LUNA and LUNC slid by 16.10% and 23.34%, respectively, with USTC tumbling by 27.97%. News of South Korea issuing an arrest warrant for founder Do Kwon and several others weighed.
Over 24 hours, total liquidations decreased as investors reacted to the softer US wholesale inflation numbers and a bullish NASDAQ 100 session. At the time of writing, 24-hour liquidations stood at $164.33 million, down from $353.74 million on Wednesday morning.
Liquidated traders over the last 24 hours also declined. At the time of writing, liquidated traders stood at 65,683 versus 99,381 on Wednesday morning.
Liquidations over twelve and four hours were down. However, one-hour liquidations inched higher as the crypto market turned bearish early in the Thursday session.
According to Coinglass, 12-hour liquidations stood at $93.39 million, down from $296.84 million on Wednesday morning, with four-hour liquidations down from $54.37 million to $25.46 million. However, one-hour liquidations were up from $2.88 million to $5.19 million. The chart below shows market conditions throughout the session.
With over 28 years of experience in the financial industry, Bob has worked with various global rating agencies and multinational banks. Currently he is covering currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes and global equities, focusing mostly on European and Asian markets.