Dogecoin (DOGE), Official Trump (TRUMP), and Official Melania Meme (MELANIA) are among the worst-hit cryptocurrencies amid the market downturn triggered by the escalating US-China trade war.
In the last week, DOGE’s price has dropped approximately 18.50%. Meanwhile, its newly introduced competitors, TRUMP and MELANIA, have faced declines exceeding 30% and 25%, respectively. However, a potential bullish reversal is evident when examining the memecoins’ performance over the past 24 hours.
For example, MELANIA has increased by about 16% in just one day, while DOGE and TRUMP saw rebounds of 12% and 1%, respectively.
Let’s examine whether or not their recoveries can continue in February.
DOGE is showing signs of a potential bullish breakout from an ascending triangle pattern, suggesting a 30% rally in February.
The 4-hour DOGE/USD chart highlights a tightening price range, with resistance near $0.28 and a series of higher lows indicating growing bullish momentum. A decisive breakout above the triangle’s upper trendline could propel DOGE toward $0.35, aligning with the pattern’s technical price target.
However, downside risks remain if DOGE fails to break out and instead slips below the ascending triangle’s lower trendline. A breakdown could shift momentum in favor of bears, exposing DOGE to a deeper correction toward the $0.23-$0.20 range, a key support zone for February.
The relative strength index (RSI) hovering below 50 suggests cautious optimism, with DOGE needing strong volume confirmation to sustain a breakout.
That said, traders will likely watch for a daily close above $0.28 to validate the bullish setup, while a drop below $0.25 may signal a potential bearish reversal.
The Official Trump (TRUMP) memecoin shows early signs of a potential bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend. The 4-hour TRUMP/USD chart indicates a bullish divergence between price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggesting that downside momentum is weakening.
TRUMP recently found support near $15.80, aligning with a key Fibonacci retracement level (0%), while RSI has begun making higher lows despite price-setting lower lows. This divergence hints at growing buying pressure. A breakout above the descending trendline could confirm a short-term reversal, with TRUMP eyeing the 50-day EMA (~$22.82) as its next resistance level.
Further up, the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) shows a significant liquidity zone between $29 and $39, with the 23.6% ($29.73) and 38.2% ($39.36) Fibonacci levels aligning with these key resistance areas. Reclaiming these levels could open the door for a stronger rally toward $45.33 (50% Fib retracement).
However, failure to break above immediate resistance could lead to another retest of $15.80. A breakdown below this support risks deeper losses, with $13.50-$12.00 emerging as the next bearish targets per VPVR’s low-volume areas.
The Official Melania Meme (MELANIA) token is flashing a potential bullish reversal after forming an inverse head and shoulders (H&S) pattern on the 4-hour MELANIA/USDT chart. This classic technical setup suggests a shift in momentum after a prolonged downtrend, indicating that buyers are regaining control.
The pattern consists of three key elements: a left shoulder, a head (lowest point), and a right shoulder, all forming below the neckline resistance at approximately $1.70. MELANIA has successfully broken above this neckline, confirming the bullish breakout. The measured move projection suggests a potential rally toward $2.31, aligning with the pattern’s expected upside target.
Additionally, the 50-day EMA (~$1.98) remains a key resistance level that MELANIA must flip into support to sustain upward momentum. A reclaim of this level could set the stage for a continuation rally toward $2.30-$2.50 in the short term.
On the downside, failure to hold above the neckline could invalidate the bullish setup, risking a pullback to $1.50-$1.40, with the head’s low near $1.20 acting as a last line of defense.
Yashu Gola is a crypto journalist and analyst with expertise in digital assets, blockchain, and macroeconomics. He provides in-depth market analysis, technical chart patterns, and insights on global economic impacts. His work bridges traditional finance and crypto, offering actionable advice and educational content. Passionate about blockchain's role in finance, he studies behavioral finance to predict memecoin trends.