U.S. stocks edged higher on Tuesday, with gains led by Nvidia and Chinese stocks, which rallied on the back of fresh stimulus measures from Beijing. Despite a sharp drop in consumer confidence, the S&P 500 climbed 0.2%, while the Nasdaq Composite added 0.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which briefly hit a record, ended up just 23 points, or 0.05%.
Nvidia continued to buoy markets, climbing more than 4% amid ongoing enthusiasm for artificial intelligence. However, the most notable performance came from Chinese stocks. Stimulus efforts by China’s central bank sparked a rally among U.S.-listed Chinese companies. Alibaba shares rose 5%, while JD.com surged 8%. Other major Chinese firms like PDD Holdings and Baidu also saw substantial gains, benefiting from expectations of improved economic growth driven by Beijing’s new policies.
Industrial stocks with exposure to China also gained, with Caterpillar rising over 3%, putting the company on track for its best performance since January. Caterpillar’s stock has surged 30% year-to-date, boosted by optimism surrounding both the U.S. infrastructure plans and China’s recovery measures.
Despite the market’s overall gains, U.S. consumer confidence data painted a more cautious picture. The Conference Board reported that confidence fell to 98.7 in September, marking its steepest monthly decline in over three years. Economists had expected a reading of 104. This drop followed concerns expressed by JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, who warned that geopolitical instability could further weigh on economic growth.
According to Julian Emanuel of Evercore ISI, these concerns are part of what continues to support the “wall of worry” that has kept markets cautious, despite the potential upside from factors like lower interest rates and economic stimulus abroad.
Other stocks making significant moves on Tuesday included Visa and Smartsheet. Visa shares fell nearly 4% following a Bloomberg report that the U.S. Department of Justice is preparing an antitrust lawsuit against the company. On the other hand, Smartsheet jumped more than 6% after Blackstone and Vista Equity Partners agreed to acquire the software company for $56.50 per share, valuing the deal at $8.4 billion.
Despite concerns over weakening consumer sentiment, the stock market remains positioned for continued gains, driven by optimism surrounding Federal Reserve policy and international stimulus efforts, particularly from China. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq have posted solid performances for September, up 1.4%, 1%, and 1.2%, respectively.
Looking ahead, traders are likely to maintain a cautiously bullish stance as they await further signs of economic stabilization from both the U.S. and China. Continued gains in technology and industrial stocks, coupled with the prospect of lower interest rates, could keep the market on an upward trend in the near term. However, geopolitical risks and domestic economic concerns, such as consumer confidence, will remain key factors to monitor.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.