The formation of the closing price reversal top and the confirmation of the potentially bearish chart pattern could lead to a short-term correction.
March E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index futures are trading lower early Thursday after a potentially bearish closing price reversal top the previous session ended a two-day winning streak. This sets up the index for a potential pullback into at least 13156.00.
A 0.1% dip in Amazon shares on Wednesday during the regular session led the index lower. Prices fell further after the cash market close after Qualcomm slipped more than 7% following an earnings report that showed revenues below consensus estimates for its fiscal first quarter.
At 06:00 GMT, March E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index futures are trading 13382.75, down 11.50 or -0.09%.
Perhaps limiting losses were eBay shares, which rose more than 9% in the after-hours market after beating on both the top and bottom lines and issuing a rosier-than-expected forecast for the first quarter. Additionally, PayPal gained nearly 3% while Apple rose 2%.
The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart, but momentum shifted to the downside with the confirmation of Wednesday closing price reversal top.
A trade through 13584.50 will negate the closing price reversal top while a move through 13599.75 will signal a resumption of the uptrend.
The main trend will change to down on a move through 12727.25. A trade through 12727.00 will reaffirm the downtrend.
The first short-term range is 12727.00 to 13599.75. Its retracement zone at 13266.50 to 13163.50 is the first potential support zone. This is followed by a pair of 50% levels at 13045.50 and 12908.25.
The formation of the closing price reversal top and the confirmation of the potentially bearish chart pattern could lead to a short-term correction into 13155.75 to 13054.75. Since the main trend is up, buyers could return on a test of this area.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.