The euro continues to see a lot of sideways action over the longer-term, and at the moment, it looks like we are simply bouncing around from one large round figure to another. This is a pair that I use often to gauge what the US dollar is going to do against many other currencies.
The Euro has been bouncing around just below the 1.10 level all week, and I think it’s probably only a matter of time before we have to break above there and go higher. On the other hand, if we were to break down below the 1.0950 level, then the market could open up and move down to the 1.09 level. This is a pair that is typically very choppy and very noisy.
That, I think, will continue as we are certainly taking a look at the currency pair through the eyes of traders that understand there are two central banks involved here that are both looking to loosen monetary policy. So, I do think you continue to get a lot of this back and forth nonsense. That being said, from a longer term perspective, it looks like the 1.12 level continues to be important as a major top. And I do think that the 1.10 level and the 1.08 level both are important as well.
So, I think we’re just banging around between these three major levels. In general, this is a situation where I think a lot of people are just going to hang about and perhaps use this as an indicator as to where the US dollar is going to go more than anything else. It’s essentially a proxy for the US dollar index, and can be used to see where the US dollar might go overall in the markets, which will make a lot of sense to pay attention to.
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Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.