Advertisement
Advertisement

EUR/USD Forecast – Euro Continues to Look Choppy and Sideways Overall

By:
Christopher Lewis
Published: Aug 1, 2024, 13:15 GMT+00:00

The euro fell in the early hours of Thursday, as the market continues to move in 20 pip increments. At this point, unless you are a scalper, this isn’t a pair worth trading. However, I use it to give me an idea of how the US dollar will behave overall.

In this article:

Euro vs US Dollar Technical Analysis

The Euro broke down below the 1.08 level early on Thursday, as we continue to see a lot of noisy behavior and the 1.08 level of course is an area that a lot of people would be paying attention to because it is a large round psychologically significant figure. With that being said, we could see a little bit of a drop, but if we recapture the 1.08 level, then we probably gain another 50 pips or so. When I look at the longer term charts, it’s easy to see that the Euro just doesn’t have anywhere to be, but that’s the natural state of this pair.

It’s essentially a proxy for what the US dollar is doing, and it’s not really something to trade. Unless, of course, you have the ability to babysit the charts on short timeframes. If you’re looking for a bigger move, this just isn’t going to be your market. At this point, we could drop down to the 1.0750 level, and then the 1.07 level. That would show the US dollar strengthening not only against the Euro, but probably against multiple other currencies around the world as well.

So, with all of that being said, I pay close attention to this pair only to get a grip on how the US dollar is doing in general, and then I apply that knowledge in other places. If you look at the shorter time frame, such as the four hour chart, you can see there is noise every 20 pips that could cause support or resistance, and therefore, again, this is more or less a scalper’s market.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

Advertisement