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EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts – U.S. Dollar Mixed As Traders React To PPI Data

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Jan 12, 2024, 16:34 GMT+00:00

Bond markets prepare for a rate cut in March, which is bearish for the American currency.

DXY

In this article:

Key Insights

  • EUR/USD managed to stay above the 1.0950 level as traders bet on dovish Fed. 
  • GBP/USD was mostly flat as traders reacted to the better-than-expected UK GDP report. 
  • USD/JPY pulled back as the yield of 2-year Treasuries tested new lows. 

U.S. Dollar

DXY
DXY 120124 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index is mostly flat as traders react to Producer Prices data. PPI declined by 0.1% month-over-month in December, compared to analyst consensus of +0.1%. Core PPI remained unchanged, while analysts expected that it would grow by 0.2%.

From the technical point of view, U.S. Dollar Index needs to settle above 102.70 to gain additional upside momentum in the near term.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 120124 4h Chart

EUR/USD lacks momentum as traders wait for additional catalysts. The yield of 2-year Treasuries tested new lows today, so bond traders bet on dovish Fed despite yesterday’s inflation data. Interestingly, this move did not put any pressure on the American currency.

A move above the 1.1000 level will lead to the test of the resistance at 1.1015 – 1.1035.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 120124 4h Chart

GBP/USD is also flat as traders react to UK GDP report, which showed that GDP increased by 0.3% month-over-month in November.

GBP/USD managed to settle above the support at 1.2650 – 1.2685 and is moving towards the nearest resistance level at 1.2820 – 1.2850.

USD/CAD

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 120124 4h Chart

USD/CAD is swinging between gains and losses as traders monitor the dynamics of the oil markets, which react to U.S. strikes against Houthis.

If USD/CAD climbs above the resistance at 1.3380 – 1.3410, it will move towards the next resistance level at 1.3480 – 1.3500.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 120124 4h Chart

USD/JPY is trying to settle below the 144.65 level as traders focus on falling Treasury yields.

A move below the support at 144.65 – 145.00 will open the way to the test of the next support level at 141.00 – 141.50.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader and analyst with over 10 years of experience in the financial markets. He is a specialist in stocks, futures, Forex, indices, and commodities areas using long-term positional trading and swing trading.

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