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EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts – U.S. Dollar Rallies As Non Farm Payrolls Smash Expectations

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Feb 2, 2024, 16:05 GMT+00:00

Traders rush to reduce their bets on dovish Fed, which is bullish for the American currency.

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts
In this article:

Key Insights

  • EUR/USD pulled back towards the 1.0800 level as U.S. Non Farm Payrolls jumped to 353,000.
  • USD/CAD rebounded as oil markets tested new lows amid hopes for de-escalation in the Middle East. 
  • USD/JPY rallied as traders focused on rising Treasury yields. 

U.S. Dollar

DXY
DXY 020224 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index rallied as traders reacted to Non Farm Payrolls report, which showed that U.S. economy added 353,000 jobs in January. Analysts expected Non Farm Payrolls of 180,000. Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 3.7%, compared to analyst consensus of 3.8%. The better-than-expected Michigan Consumer Sentiment report provided additional support to the American currency.

In case U.S. Dollar Index stays above the 103.75 level, it will head towards the next resistance, which is located in the 104.35 – 104.55 range.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 020224 4h Chart

EUR/USD retreats as traders focus on strong economic data from the U.S., which may force the Fed to be more hawkish.

In case EUR/USD settles below the support at 1.0810, it will head towards the next support level at 1.0730 – 1.0750.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 020224 4h Chart

GBP/USD is losing ground as traders focus on general strength of the U.S. dollar.

A successful test of the support at 1.2650 – 1.2685 will open the way to the test of the next support level, which is located in the 1.2500 – 1.2520 range.

USD/CAD

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 020224 4h Chart

USD/CAD rebounds as oil markets suffer a sell-off. Oil markets remain under pressure as geopolitical risk premium declines amid hopes for de-escalation in the Middle East.

In case USD/CAD manages to stay above the 1.3450 level, it will get to the test of the nearest resistance level at 1.3480 – 1.3500.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 020224 4h Chart

USD/JPY gains ground as traders focus on the strong rebound in Treasury yields.

A move above the resistance at 147.00 – 147.50 opens the way to the test of the next resistance at 149.50 – 150.00.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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