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EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY – U.S. Dollar Is Losing Ground Ahead Of Tomorrow’s Inflation Reports

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Jul 11, 2023, 16:38 GMT+00:00

U.S. Dollar Index settled below the important support at the 102 level.

DXY

In this article:

Key Insights

  • EUR/USD pulled back from recent highs as traders reacted to the disappointing ZEW Economic Sentiment Index report from Germany. 
  • GBP/USD tested new highs as traders bet that BoE will stay hawkish. 
  • USD/JPY remained under pressure as the strong pullback continued. 

U.S. Dollar

DXY
DXY 110723 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index is losing ground as traders react to IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index report and prepare for tomorrow’s inflation reports. Inflation Rate is expected to decline from 4% in June to 3.2% in July, while Core Inflation Rate is projected to decrease from 5.3% to 5.0%.

U.S. Dollar Index settled below the 102 level and continues to move lower. RSI is close to the oversold territory, but there is enough room to gain additional downside momentum.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 110723 4h Chart

EUR/USD is mostly flat in today’s trading session. Germany’s ZEW Economic Sentiment Index declined from -8.5 in June to -14.7 in July, which served as a bearish catalyst for euro.

From the technical point of view, EUR/USD is moving towards the resistance at 1.1070 – 1.1095. RSI has recently moved away from the overbought territory, which is a welcome development for the bulls.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 110723 4h Chart

GBP/USD tests new highs as traders bet that BoE will stay hawkish despite rising Unemployment Rate. Today’s report showed that UK Unemployment Rate increased from 3.8% in April to 4% in May.

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 110723 Daily Chart

Taking a look at the daily chart, the nearest significant resistance level for GBP/USD is located in the 1.2970 – 1.3000 range, so GBP/USD has plenty of room to gain additional upside momentum.

USD/CAD

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 110723 4h Chart

USD/CAD is losing ground as oil markets test new highs. Interestingly, other commodity-related currencies are moving lower in today’s trading session.

A move below the support area in the 1.3240 – 1.3265 range will open the way to the test of the next support, which is located in the 1.3180 – 1.3210 area.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 110723 4h Chart

USD/JPY remains under pressure as traders bet that Fed will not be able to raise rates after the last rate hike at the upcoming meeting in July.

Currently, USD/JPY is testing the support at 140.45 – 140.80. In case this test is successful, USD/JPY will head towards the support in the 138.50 – 138.80 range.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader and analyst with over 10 years of experience in the financial markets. He is a specialist in stocks, futures, Forex, indices, and commodities areas using long-term positional trading and swing trading.

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