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EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY – U.S. Dollar Pulls Back Despite Strong Economic Data

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Updated: Jun 27, 2023, 18:21 GMT+00:00

Traders believe that the Fed will make its last rate hike at the next meeting in July.

DXY
In this article:

Key Insights

  • EUR/USD settled above the 1.0950 level as traders focused on the hawkish ECB. 
  • USD/CAD moved higher as Canada’s Inflation Rate met analyst expectations. 
  • USD/JPY tested new highs as the rally continued. 

U.S. Dollar

DXY
DXY 270623 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index remains under pressure despite encouraging economic reports. CB Consumer Confidence, New Home Sales, and Durable Goods Orders exceeded analyst expectations but did not provide material support to the American currency.

From the technical point of view, U.S. Dollar Index is sliding towards the strong support area in the 102.00 – 102.15 range. A move below this range will indicate that the U.S. Dollar Index is ready to gain additional momentum.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 270623 4h Chart

EUR/USD gains ground as traders bet on additional rate hikes from the ECB. Currently, the markets expect that the ECB will raise the rate by 50 bps by September.

EUR/USD has already managed to settle above the 1.0935 level and is moving towards the 1.1000 level. A move above this level will open the way to the test of the resistance at 1.1070 – 1.1095.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 270623 4h Chart

GBP/USD has started to rebound after the recent pullback. Traders expect that the BoE will remain hawkish in the upcoming months.

From the technical point of view, GBP/USD is trying to settle above the 50 MA at 1.2755. In case this attempt is successful, GBP/USD will head towards the resistance in the 1.2820 – 1.2850 range.

USD/CAD

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 270623 4h Chart

USD/CAD rebounds from recent lows as traders react to Canada’s inflation report, which indicated that Inflation Rate declined from 4.4% in April to 3.4% in May, in line with the analyst consensus.

In case USD/CAD settles above 1.3210, it will head towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 1.3240 – 1.3265 range. RSI remains in the moderate territory, and there is plenty of room to gain additional upside momentum in case the right catalysts emerge.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 270623 4h Chart

USD/JPY tests new highs as Treasury yields rise. While the market expects that the Fed would stop after an additional 25 bps rate hike in July, BoJ’s ultra-dovish policy puts too much pressure on the Japanese yen.

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 270623 Daily Chart

Taking a look at the daily chart, a move above the resistance in the 144.20 – 145.20 range will push USD/JPY towards the next resistance level at 148.35 – 148.75.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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