The US dollar continues to see a lot of selling pressure on Friday, as the markets continue to punish the greenback on the idea that there is a recession coming to the United States, which will force the Fed to cut rates.
The euro rallied again pretty significantly during the trading session on Friday to spike towards the 1.15 level. It looks like we may have hit a little bit of an air pocket. But at this point in time, you have to ask whether or not there shouldn’t be some type of pullback. Quite frankly, a lot of this is coming down from increased expectations that the Federal Reserve might cut rates to avoid a massive recession.
But these are early days, and with everything being as fluid as it is, it makes a certain amount of sense that caution is to be paid to this market. 1.12 below should offer support on pullbacks.
The US dollar has fallen again against the Japanese yen, as it looks like we are testing that crucial 142 yen level. A breakdown below that level then sends markets much lower and therefore we could see a pretty significant drop. At this point in time, if you zoom out far enough, there is a massive head and shoulders, but we are a couple of handles away from breaking that out.
The Australian dollar has been all over the place during the trading session, but interestingly enough, unlike the other two currencies in this video, the Australian dollar still seems a bit sluggish. And that makes a certain amount of sense, if you think about it, mainly due to the fact that the Australian dollar and the Australian economy are highly levered to China.
And therefore, you have to assume that there are still lot of fears about this US-China trade spat. With that being said, if we were to break down below the bottom of the candlestick for the day, I suspect we continue the overall downtrend.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.