The euro rallied a bit during the week, and at one point in time look like it was ready to take off. Having said that, the market has given back enough of the gains to look rather lackluster and neutral still.
The Euro has rallied quite a bit during the week, but really at this point in time, it also looks a little lackluster as the 1.09 level has been like a brick wall. You can see that we are squeezing a bit, and that’s something that I’ve seen in multiple pairs.
It’s not just the euro, so I think we are about to see a big move one way or the other in the US dollar. At this point, I am fairly ambivalent about this pair, but that’s nothing new. Quite frankly, trading the euro is like watching paint dry, and I was a painting contractor for 15 years, so I know exactly what I’m talking about.
That being said, if we break down below the 1.08 level, then the euro could drop down to the 1.07 level. On the other hand, if we break above the 1.09 level, the market could go looking to the 1.10 level. We’re right in the middle of a larger range, consolidation so we’re about as neutral as it gets right now and this is going to be a scenario where traders are going to have to be very cautious. I think getting too big in one direction or the other is probably going to be a mistake at the moment. And I think we’re going to be rangebound most of the year. I’ve been saying that for a few months, and there’s nothing on this chart that tells me anything different.
So, I am very ambivalent, but you can use this as an idea as to where the U.S. dollar might go against other pairs. That’s generally what I use the euro for anyway.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.