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EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis August 21, 2014 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 24, 2015, 12:00 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/JPY eased by 2 points as the JPY lost momentum but the euro was weaker trading at 137.08. Japan's trade deficit rose

EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis August 21, 2014 Forecast

EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis August 21, 2014 Forecast
EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis August 21, 2014 Forecast
Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/JPY eased by 2 points as the JPY lost momentum but the euro was weaker trading at 137.08. Japan’s trade deficit rose in July from the month before to a wider than expected 964 billion yen ($9.4 billion), though exports were higher for the first time in three months. Japan’s demand for imports has moderated in recent months as business activity slowed following an increase in the national sales tax.

It was the 25th straight month of deficits for the world’s third-largest economy, due mainly to an increase in imports of oil and gas to compensate for idled nuclear reactors following meltdowns at the Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear power plant in 2011.

Exports rose 3.9 percent from a year earlier to 6.19 trillion yen ($60.2 billion), slightly outpacing a 2.3 percent increase in imports, to 7.15 trillion yen ($69.5 billion). Japan recorded an 822 billion yen deficit in June.

The euro softened on Monday after a Berlin meeting between the foreign ministers of Ukraine and Russia helped lower market worries, even if it did not resolve tensions between the two. Traders had fled higher-risk currencies to safe havens on Friday after Ukraine said it had destroyed some Russian armored cars, sparking fears of an escalation. But Russia dismissed the claim.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our  weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.

Economic Data August 20, 2014 actual v. forecast

Cur.

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

  AUD

RBA Governor Stevens Speaks  

 

 

 

 

  JPY

Adjusted Trade Balance

-1.02T

-0.77T

-1.07T

 

  JPY

Exports (YoY)

3.9%

3.8%

-2.0%

 

  JPY

Trade Balance

-964B

-703B

-822B

 

 

eurjpy wed

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring

Cur.

Event

Forecast

Previous

  CNY

HSBC Manufacturing PMI  

51.5

51.7

 

  EUR

French Manufacturing PMI  

47.8

47.8

 

  EUR

French Services PMI  

50.0

50.4

 

  EUR

German Manufacturing PMI  

51.8

52.4

 

  EUR

German Services PMI  

55.7

56.7

 

  EUR

Manufacturing PMI  

51.3

51.8

 

  EUR

Services PMI  

53.5

54.2

 

  GBP

Retail Sales (MoM)

0.4%

0.1%

 

  USD

Initial Jobless Claims

300K

311K

 

  USD

Existing Home Sales

5.02M

5.04M

 

  USD

Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

19.2

23.9

 

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Aug 28 Tentative              EUR       Italian 10-y Bond Auction

Sep 8    Tentative              EUR       Italian 10-y Bond Auction

Sep 10   6:01pm                USD       10-y Bond Auction

Sep 11 Tentative               EUR       German 10-y Bond Auction

 

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