Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/JPY eased by 2 points as the JPY lost momentum but the euro was weaker trading at 137.08. Japan's trade deficit rose
The EUR/JPY eased by 2 points as the JPY lost momentum but the euro was weaker trading at 137.08. Japan’s trade deficit rose in July from the month before to a wider than expected 964 billion yen ($9.4 billion), though exports were higher for the first time in three months. Japan’s demand for imports has moderated in recent months as business activity slowed following an increase in the national sales tax.
It was the 25th straight month of deficits for the world’s third-largest economy, due mainly to an increase in imports of oil and gas to compensate for idled nuclear reactors following meltdowns at the Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear power plant in 2011.
Exports rose 3.9 percent from a year earlier to 6.19 trillion yen ($60.2 billion), slightly outpacing a 2.3 percent increase in imports, to 7.15 trillion yen ($69.5 billion). Japan recorded an 822 billion yen deficit in June.
The euro softened on Monday after a Berlin meeting between the foreign ministers of Ukraine and Russia helped lower market worries, even if it did not resolve tensions between the two. Traders had fled higher-risk currencies to safe havens on Friday after Ukraine said it had destroyed some Russian armored cars, sparking fears of an escalation. But Russia dismissed the claim.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.
Economic Data August 20, 2014 actual v. forecast
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
AUD |
RBA Governor Stevens Speaks |
|
|
|
|
JPY |
Adjusted Trade Balance |
-1.02T |
-0.77T |
-1.07T |
|
JPY |
Exports (YoY) |
3.9% |
3.8% |
-2.0% |
|
JPY |
Trade Balance |
-964B |
-703B |
-822B |
Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring
Cur. |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
CNY |
HSBC Manufacturing PMI |
51.5 |
51.7 |
|
EUR |
French Manufacturing PMI |
47.8 |
47.8 |
|
EUR |
French Services PMI |
50.0 |
50.4 |
|
EUR |
German Manufacturing PMI |
51.8 |
52.4 |
|
EUR |
German Services PMI |
55.7 |
56.7 |
|
EUR |
Manufacturing PMI |
51.3 |
51.8 |
|
EUR |
Services PMI |
53.5 |
54.2 |
|
GBP |
Retail Sales (MoM) |
0.4% |
0.1% |
|
USD |
Initial Jobless Claims |
300K |
311K |
|
USD |
Existing Home Sales |
5.02M |
5.04M |
|
USD |
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index |
19.2 |
23.9 |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Aug 28 Tentative EUR Italian 10-y Bond Auction
Sep 8 Tentative EUR Italian 10-y Bond Auction
Sep 10 6:01pm USD 10-y Bond Auction
Sep 11 Tentative EUR German 10-y Bond Auction