The ECB and US GDP may cause some interesting volatility in the markets. We see very slow USD Index and EURUSD as well for this week so it may be time for some action here.
Let’s keep in mind that ECB may not do any hawkish actions if we consider that Eurozone inflation is below that in the US, so I think they will wait on FED first. However, if inflation will continue they will be forced to act; rather sooner than later, and such remarks can still stabilize the pair. Technically, we see pair still in a contra-trend movement because of overlapping decline, but we need that strong break and close above 1.1626 resistance for a resumption higher.
EURUSD is coming higher very nicely back towards 1.1663, the former lows, after a bottom formation at 1.1520/25 area that we recognized because of a five-wave drop and break out of a downward channel. As such, we think there can be more gains coming, ideally after a current pullback. However, break and daily close above 1.1670 can be very bullish for the pair.
Cable did not change much in the last few sessions, still looking slow and corrective so ideally, it’s in the middle of an impulsive recovery. Important support remains at 1.3747 ‘-1.37 area, where pair may stabilize and find new buyers. The invalidation level is at 1.3645.
Gregor is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of Ew-Forecast, but before that, he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com.