Advertisement
Advertisement

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis November 6, 2012, Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 20, 2015, 21:00 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendations: The GBP/USD is trading at 1.5973 plunging 51 pips today as the US dollar gained momentum ahead of the BoE meeting. Sterling

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis November 6, 2012, Forecast

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis November 6, 2012, Forecast
GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis November 6, 2012, Forecast
Analysis and Recommendations:

The GBP/USD is trading at 1.5973 plunging 51 pips today as the US dollar gained momentum ahead of the BoE meeting. Sterling is weak, down 0.3% and trading in sympathy with EUR for the second consecutive session.  A weaker services PMI has also added to the decline, as the index fell to 50.6 from 52.2 vs. expectations of 52.0.  GBP has broken 1.60 and is trading at the lower end of its recent range ahead of important domestic and external events that include the US elections.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data November 5, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

Nov. 05

 

AUD

 

 

Retail Sales (MoM) 

0.5%

 

0.4%

 

0.3%

 

 

AUD

 

 

Trade Balance 

-1.46B

 

-1.65B

 

-1.88B

 

 

INR

 

 

Indian Trade Balance 

-18.1B

 

-11.0B

 

-15.6B

 

 

TRY

 

 

Turkish CPI (MoM) 

1.96%

 

2.10%

 

1.03%

 

 

EUR

 

 

Spanish Unemployment Change 

128.20K

 

90.50K

 

79.60K

 

 

GBP

 

 

Services PMI 

50.6

 

52.0

 

52.2

 

 

CAD

 

 

Building Permits (MoM) 

-13.2%

 

-3.0%

 

7.9%

 

 

USD

 

 

ISM Non-Manufacturing Index 

54.2

 

54.5

 

55.1

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Nov. 06

06:45

CHF

SECO Consumer Climate 

-22

-17

 

09:30

GBP

Industrial Production (MoM) 

-0.6%

-0.5%

 

09:30

GBP

Manufacturing Production (MoM) 

0.3%

-1.1%

 

09:30

GBP

Industrial Production (YoY) 

-1.6%

-1.2%

 

11:00

EUR

German Factory Orders (MoM) 

-0.5%

-1.3%

Nov. 07

08:15

CHF

CPI (MoM) 

0.3%

0.3%

 

10:00

EUR

Retail Sales (MoM) 

-0.1%

0.1%

 

11:00

EUR

German Industrial Production (MoM) 

-0.5%

-0.5%

Nov. 08

12:00

GBP

Interest Rate Decision 

0.50%

0.50%

 

12:00

GBP

BOE QE Total 

375B

375B

 

12:45

EUR

Interest Rate Decision 

0.75%

0.75%

Nov. 09

01:30

CNY

Chinese CPI (YoY) 

1.9%

1.9%

 

01:30

CNY

Chinese PPI (YoY) 

-2.7%

-3.6%

 

01:30

CNY

Chinese CPI (MoM) 

0.1%

0.3%

 

05:30

CNY

Chinese Fixed Asset Investment (YoY) 

20.6%

20.5%

 

05:30

CNY

Chinese Industrial Production (YoY) 

9.4%

9.2%

 

05:30

CNY

Chinese Retail Sales (YoY) 

14.1%

14.2%

 

07:00

EUR

German CPI (MoM) 

 

 

 

07:00

EUR

German CPI (YoY) 

2.0%

2.0%

 

09:30

GBP

Trade Balance 

-8.9B

-9.8B

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Nov 06 10:10 Greece 

Nov 06 10:15 Austria 

Nov 06 10:30 Belgium 

Nov 06 10:30 UK 

Nov 06 15:30 UK 

Nov 06 18:00 US 

Nov 07 10:30 Germany 

Nov 07 15:30 Sweden 

Nov 07 18:00 US

Nov 08 9:30 Spain 

Nov 08 10:10 Sweden 

Nov 08 16:30 Italy  

Nov 08 18:00 US 

Nov 09 11:00 Belgium 

Nov 09 16:30 Italy

About the Author

Did you find this article useful?
Advertisement