The gold market continues to see buyers at this point, but the Jackson Hole Symposium will be front and center, and traders will continue to look at the speeches to get a “lay of the land” on where interest rates might be going.
The gold market rallied a bit during the early hours on Friday as we continue to see a lot of noise out there. But quite frankly, I think you’ve got a situation where the $2,500 level continues to attract a lot of attention, and therefore I think it makes a lot of sense that we would see this market struggle with certainty.
Furthermore, we have the Jackson Hole Symposium going on during the same time, and there will be a speech by Jerome Powell that eventually is released and that will have a major influence on what people expect the monetary policy out of the Federal Reserve to be. This of course is almost always a major driver, and this point in time is no different.
With that being the case, I think volatility remains, but I do like buying dips in the gold market because it’s in an uptrend and, of course, geopolitical concerns continue to be a major problem. Furthermore, we have central banks around the world buying gold, providing a little bit of a floor anyway, and if interest rates do drop, that makes gold much more attractive as paying for the storage becomes less of a burden because higher interest rates, typically you can just own paper and get a return. All things being equal, this is a market that it’s not until we break down below the $2,400 level that I would even consider shorting this market, as there are other factors like geopolitics that could lift this market as well.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.