Gold markets have gone sideways for 3 days in a row, forming a very choppy short-term range. However, we are at an area that I do think offers a move sooner or later.
Gold markets have gone back and forth during the trading session on Tuesday, as we continue to go back and forth right along the 38.2% Fibonacci level. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level has also found itself near the $1850 level, and it looks as if it is doing everything it can to find its footing in this area. We are sitting just below the 50-Day EMA, so there is a little bit of technical resistance in that region, but I don’t believe that we are going to see that be overly aggressive.
The hammer from the trading session on Monday suggests that there are a lot of buyers underneath, so if we were to break down below that candlestick, it could open up a move down to the 200 diving Day EMA. The 200-Day EMA is sitting just above the $1800 level, and it’s also worth noting that we have the 50% Fibonacci level in that same region. The 200-Day EMA will attract a lot of attention as it is a longer-term trend indicator, and a lot of algorithmic systems are built on that indicator. However, if we were to break down below there you then have to worry about a gap on the chart that is near the $1770 level. In other words, there are plenty of places we may see buyers come back into the market.
From a very long-term standpoint, we have essentially touched the top of a large consolidation area, going back several years. If we can break above the most recent high, which is near $1975, and almost certainly opens up the possibility of going to the $2000 level. It obviously would take a lot of work to get there, which starts with breaking above that 50-Day EMA. Above there, the $1900 level has seen a significant amount of selling pressure, so it is most certainly worth paying attention to that area as well.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.