The gold market rallied again in the early hours on Wednesday, as the market continues to see a multitude of reasons to continue higher overall. This is a market that continues to look “buy on the dips.”
Short-term pullbacks continue to be something that I look for when it comes to the gold market as the 50 day EMA underneath offers support right along with the $2,300 level. The $2,300 level is a large round psychologically significant figure, but it is also the beginning of a range of support that drops down to the $2,280 level. Keep in mind that there is a significant amount of geopolitical concerns out there.
And I think that continues to keep the gold market somewhat active. And then we could continue to grind higher, perhaps reaching the $2,400 level. In general, this is a market that I think remains very noisy and very erratic, but very well supported. After all, central banks around the world are major buyers of gold, have been for a couple of years now, so that provides a little bit of a floor anyway.
In general, this is a market that I think will be very noisy and choppy, but I do think that it’s very difficult to short gold at the moment. Even if we broke down below the $2,280 level, it’s very likely that we would just reset closer to the 200-day EMA, which is right around a cluster of previous action, just north of the $2,150 level. With that, I remain bullish.
I just recognize that you might want to look for a little bit of value. Keep in mind that Thursday is Independence Day in the United States, so that will have a massive amount of influence on the liquidity and the futures market. And of course, Friday is the jobs number.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.