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Gold Price Forecast – Gold Continues to Pull Back a Bit

By:
Christopher Lewis
Published: Jul 21, 2023, 13:39 GMT+00:00

Gold markets pulled back on Friday, as we worked off froth in the market.

Gold, FX Empire

In this article:

Gold Price Predictions Video for 24.07.23

Gold Market Technical Analysis

Gold markets experienced a brief retreat on Friday, pausing after a period of bullish pressure. As investors assess the market’s recent momentum, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average emerges as a potential support level. This article delves into the key factors influencing the gold market, exploring potential breakout levels, support levels, and critical determinants like inflation trends, the performance of the US dollar, and interest rates that could shape gold’s trajectory.

Following a successful break above the 50-Day EMA, a potential breakout signal surfaced, indicating the possibility of a move towards the $2000 level. Should the market surpass the previous Tuesday’s candlestick, this would clear the path for further gains, potentially targeting the $2050 level. During the afternoon, buyers demonstrated resilience amidst short-term pullbacks, underscoring the prevailing market sentiment. Such pullbacks, however, should not be overlooked, as they present buying opportunities in line with recent market behavior.

While signs of upward momentum prevail in the market, caution remains crucial. A breakdown below the 50-Day EMA might lead to a test of the 200-Day EMA, a historically significant support level. Among market participants, the 200-Day EMA carries considerable weight as an indicator of the overall trend. A breach below this level would introduce the potential for a substantial downward move, possibly targeting the $1800 level, which acted as a pivotal point in the previous bullish leg.

As investors navigate the gold market, monitoring inflation trends and the performance of the US dollar takes on paramount importance. Historically, gold exhibits an inverse correlation with the greenback, although occasional deviations can occur. Additionally, interest rates play a crucial role, as a decline in rates tends to favor gold. Lower interest rates narrow the gap between the storage costs for physical gold and the potential yield from holding bonds, thus making precious metals more attractive.

At present, gold markets are consolidating following a period of bullish pressure. The 50-Day EMA continues to offer support, while specific levels, such as the previous candlestick high and the $2000 mark, hold significant potential for breakouts. Investors are encouraged to seize short-term pullbacks as buying opportunities, aligning with the prevailing market trend. As the trajectory of gold is heavily influenced by inflation trends, the performance of the US dollar, and interest rates, a cautious approach to gold is necessary.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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