The post-election decline in gold has been disappointing, but it’s important not to lose perspective. Gold confirmed a major bull market breakout in 2024 that should push prices towards $10,000. The current decline will be a distant memory and barely recognizable come 2030.
Gold reached our $2,800 target in October and prices are bouncing after the initial breakdown. Once this rebound is complete, our work supports one more drop in December that could test $2,450 before bottoming in the next cycle low.
Silver is not confirming the recent move in gold and is showing relative weakness. This bounce should be limited to resistance near $33.00, followed by more downside in December. If silver continues to underperform – prices could retest the $26.50 area.
Platinum formed a bearish engulfing candle after testing the 50-day EMA. After this rebound, more downside is likely, which could take prices below $900.
Miners are bouncing with near-term resistance near $39.00. It would take progressive closes above $40.50 to support a bullish reversal. Otherwise, more downside is likely in December.
Juniors are bouncing towards resistance near $49.50. Prices would have to close progressively above the election day high of $51.62 to establish a bullish reversal. Overwise, I’m looking for more downside in December.
Silver juniors are bouncing and could fill the gap near $13.20. Prices would have to close progressively above the election day high ($13.68) to restore bullish momentum.
Bitcoin is a stone’s throw away for 100k. The MFI is overbought, and we could see a pullback on profit taking. Crypto appears to be in a new bull phase that should last into Q4 2025.
Gold surged nearly $1,000 from its October 2023 low and is now taking a necessary pause. The current rebound appears to be driven by geopolitical factors but lacks confirmation from silver or platinum. Additional downside is expected with a bottom likely in December (around the Fed announcement).
AG Thorson is a registered CMT and an expert in technical analysis. For more price predictions and daily market commentary, consider subscribing at www.GoldPredict.com.
AG Thorson is a registered CMT and expert in technical analysis. He believes we are in the final stages of a global debt super-cycle that will begin to unravel in 2020.