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Gold Price Forecast – Gold Markets Continue to Test a Major Trend Line

By:
Christopher Lewis
Published: Jun 28, 2023, 14:42 GMT+00:00

Gold markets have drifted just a little bit lower during the session on Wednesday as we continue to see the US dollar cause issues for the market, as well as the interest rate markets doing the same.

Gold, FX Empire

In this article:

Gold Price Predictions Video for 29.06.23

Gold Market Technical Analysis

On Wednesday, the gold market engaged in a back-and-forth trading session, exhibiting signs of strength within a limited range. The market’s focus is on establishing stability and maintaining its position along the uptrend line. Importantly, the 200-Day Exponential Moving Average rests just below the trendline, offering significant support. A breakthrough above the $1950 level would likely fuel upward momentum in both the futures and Contract for Difference markets.

Currently, the gold market finds itself sandwiched between the 200-Day EMA and the 50-Day EMA, which often leads to increased volatility. Given the present major inflection point, it is reasonable to expect a pause and reassessment of market conditions. Turbulent behavior may persist, but there is also a possibility that the market is establishing a foundation for higher prices.

While volatility persists, it may be worth considering the possibility of acquiring gold at relatively lower prices in the short term, as long as the market remains above the 200-Day EMA. A breakout above the $2000 level would likely trigger an attempt to revisit previous highs. Furthermore, the market currently hovers around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which is appealing to many traders.

In the event of a breakdown below the 200-Day EMA, a drop to the $1800 level could occur, although it is not perceived as likely. Gold is expected to continue generating significant interest, particularly due to ongoing concerns regarding wealth preservation. However, it is crucial to remain vigilant and be prepared to respond swiftly to rapid declines in the market. In that scenario, it could be a bit of a “flush lower”, that could send gold plunging rather quickly. It is important to remain as vigilant as possible.

During Wednesday’s trading session, the gold market displayed a narrow range and intermittent strength as it seeks stability along the uptrend line. The 200-Day EMA provides substantial support, while a breakthrough above $1950 could drive upward movement. Short-term opportunities to acquire gold at relatively lower prices should be considered, but caution is advised in response to rapid market declines.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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