The gold markets have rallied a bit during the trading session on Thursday as we are awaiting the Jackson Hole speech from Jerome Powell.
Gold markets have rallied a bit during the trading session on Thursday, to break toward the $1775 level. The markets are facing the 50-day EMA just above and of course a massive amount of resistance near the $1,800 level. In other words, I think that each rally probably gets sold into, and therefore you need to look for signs of exhaustion. However, a lot of this is going to come down to how the market behaves to the speech by Jerome Powell Friday morning. Ultimately, I think this is a market that will continue to move back and forth with interest rates, and therefore the speech on Friday will be crucial.
After all, people will be paying attention to whether or not the Federal Reserve sounds like it is going to get hawkish, or if it’s going to pivot. Ultimately, this is a market that is going to be paying close attention to the $1,750 level, an area where a gap has formed. On the other hand, if we break above the 50-day EMA, then the $1,800 level comes into the picture as potential resistance. I think it is going to be a significant barrier, that is going to be hard to get above.
Ultimately, this is a market that is going to be very noisy. In fact, you probably would be better off waiting until the Friday close to reassess the entire situation. We should get a bit of clarity if we are lucky.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.