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Gold Price Forecast – Gold Trying to Turn Things Around

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Aug 16, 2023, 12:43 GMT+00:00

In the trading session on Wednesday, the gold market experienced a slight dip, yet its underlying support remains sturdy as it is trying to recover early in the US session.

Gold, FX Empire

In this article:

Gold Price Predictions Video for 17.08.23

Gold Market Technical Analysis

Presently, the gold market’s attention is fixed on the objective of breaching the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average, strategically positioned around the $1965 level. A successful breakthrough here could potentially pave the way for an upward climb towards the significant milestone of $2000. This value carries weight not only due to its numerical value but also due to its status as a critical juncture with substantial market implications capable of guiding market trends.

Conversely, dipping below the 200-Day EMA introduces the potential for a downward course targeting the $1900 threshold. Should this support be breached, it might trigger further movement towards the established $1800 range, historically acting as a dependable support zone. However, it’s crucial to place these potential movements within the larger context of the US dollar’s performance and prevailing trends within the bond market. Heightened bond yields could pose challenges for gold, potentially influencing its overall performance.

The ongoing phase, often termed the “dead of summer” due to holiday periods, could contribute to diminished trading volumes. This aspect might lead to a relatively subdued level of market activity, subsequently impacting the extent of price fluctuations.

Taking a broader perspective, the active involvement of central banks as significant gold buyers introduces a stabilizing factor into the market. While the prospect of a rapid surge remains uncertain, the idea of a gradual upward trajectory gains prominence. A bullish trend might emerge, albeit in a measured and gradual manner. Investors should note that this outlook aligns well with strategies focused on long-term investments, particularly considering the specific dynamics of August.

In conclusion, the recent path charted by the gold market underscores the intricate interplay of technical signals, global market dynamics, and seasonal patterns. Aiming to surpass the 50-Day EMA and striving for the $2000 mark holds considerable significance. However, the possibility of declines leading to shifts toward lower support levels must also be accounted for. External variables, encompassing the US dollar’s performance and bond yields, are vital considerations. Ultimately, the consistent role of central banks in purchasing gold introduces an element of stability. Despite the gradual pace, the potential for a positive trajectory over the long term remains viable. Investors are advised to strike a balance between optimism and prudent risk management as they navigate the evolving landscape of the gold market.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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